Budget season is in full swing and I just returned from Albany where I testified about the state of the City’s finances, the significant challenges we currently face, and the urgent need for greater investment in New York City through State funding.
As you’ve likely heard, the City faces a multi-billion-dollar budget gap in the next two years.
It’s not all doom and gloom, however; revenue is high and revised tax receipts are up this year. Still, New York remains a city of contradictions.
The stock market is at an all-time high — the Dow above 50,000 for the first time ever — yet nearly 90,000 New Yorkers slept in our shelters last night.
New York City is home to more billionaires than any other city in the world. And yet nearly one in four New Yorkers live in poverty. That’s 2 million people, including 420,000 children.
And this month’s New York by the Numbers, our monthly economic snapshot, reflects that disconnect.
While New York City’s office market has continued its steady and robust rebound in early 2026, job growth remains stagnant, with weekly jobless claims creeping upward in January and persistent hiring challenges for recent graduates which could further hamper future job growth.
Rents continue to soar, which means shelter costs and the City’s contribution to rent subsidy programs are also rising. At the same time, New York City remains a preeminent destination with tourism numbers coming in stronger than last January and higher consumer confidence than the rest of the country.
These contradictions are also evident in the City’s budget. With a fiscal gap not seen since the Great Recession, all options are on the table and a stronger partnership with Albany will be essential — after all, New York City sends far more money to the state than we receive in return; by one recent estimate, more than $20 billion.
If we act now with clarity, urgency, and a real partnership with Albany, we can create a more resilient fiscal foundation, steel ourselves for the uncertainty ahead, and be a city and state that leaves no one behind.
As always, we will continue to track these trends closely and share clear, data-driven insights to help New Yorkers understand what’s happening in our economy, and what it means for the City’s future.
The U.S. unemployment rate, which had reached a 4-year high in December, receded slightly in January, and private-sector employment notched its largest monthly gain in just over a year (+172K). However, job creation during 2024 and 2025 was revised down substantially.
In NYC, both initial weekly jobless claims and continuing claims, which had remained fairly subdued up until mid-January, have risen in recent weeks—likely driven by the nurses’ strike and harsh weather.
Consumer confidence fell nationwide for the sixth straight month in January; in New York State, confidence retreated from its highest level of the year, but it remained above the U.S. average.
Regional business sentiment improved somewhat in January but is still at tepid levels, based on the New York Fed’s surveys of manufacturers and service firms.
While the nationwide office market has struggled to recover, New York City’s market has continued its steady and fairly robust rebound in early 2026.
Tourism in New York City registered a bit less of a seasonal slowdown in January than usual, as both hotel occupancy and Broadway attendance were up noticeably from a year earlier.
Over the past 12 months, the average asylum seeker shelter census decreased by 38%, while the non-asylum-seeking population declined by 2%.
As of the end of January, the City’s total full-time staffing headcount was 292,483, compared to 305,777 authorized positions in the FY 2026 November Financial Plan, resulting in a vacancy rate of 4.3%.
Total tax revenue collected over the first half of this Fiscal Year (through December 2025) has risen by 6.8% ($3.15 billion) over a year earlier, led by strong growth in Personal Income Taxes & PTET.
As of February 2nd, the cash balance stood at $9.04 billion, down from $13.52 billion at the same time last year.